NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET, and every corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked trail where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next success of the 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be listed at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 odds. But, there are just six drivers using 2019 NASCAR in Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR in Bristol predictions in the proven pc model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into account.

The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender in the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the drivers in McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His version mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we could inform you that the model is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this course among busy NASCAR drivers. This comes with a victory last August in the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way to the front of the pack from the starting position because race and has also already come in the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and certainly will again start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second in the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.

And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites at 12-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better worth compared to 12-1 premium he is controlling.

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