NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR Program kicks into high gear Sunday Together with All the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag falls at two p.m. ET for the 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite from the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 chances. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who both finished in the top four final week in the Daytona 500. Prior to making your own 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, be sure to have a look at the projected leaderboard in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and current results into consideration.

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It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top competition from the beginning. Anybody who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his model simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For your 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we could inform you the version is high on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott does not have a long history at Atlanta, but he has had success there in all three of his starts at the track since linking the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He has finished inside the top 10 in every one of those races and even got a top-five end in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five occasions in his career, so it’s something of a home track for the 23-year-old. The model expects him to ride that edge to the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the version: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a year before, but wound up finishing in seventh place. The year before, he had another fast ride in qualifying and began the race , but wound up in 16th.

Considering his win at Atlanta at 2013, Busch has only run 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he’s finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values in this loaded 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you’ll want to cover him.

The model can be targeting three other drivers with 2019 NASCAR at Atlanta chances of 10-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots could hit it big.

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