BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 141 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card in Beijing, China. The tournaments are a lot smaller on DraftKings this week, therefore I believe that it’s a good week to concentrate more on money games. The main GPP is the $8 entry that pays $10K to 1st place. That’s the best one to chase in my opinion. I will have a few LUs that I put into a great deal of GPPs hoping I can win them all, but I will not have lots of LUs in total this week. Other than that, most of my play with this week will be in the cash games. Mostly H2Hs. That said, here are a couple of plays I enjoy for UFC Beijing, as well as my fade of this week.
Money Game play of this week — Song Yadong ($9,100)
I believe Song Yadong might be the best drama on the card that weekend and there are 4 fighters priced higher than him. Yadong is a -500 favored on Saturday and I believe that is a struggle the UFC is needing him to triumph in his home country. I think in tournaments, Yadong will be the highest owned fighter on the card with 3 girls fighters priced over him, with substantially smaller odds of winning ITD. I believe that you can make a case to fade him due to his possession in GPPs, but in money games we do not care about possession. I believe this is a good spot to lock in a triumph and possibly ~100-points, and then try to find 3 more wins that we are able to afford. More frequently than maybe 4 wins gets the job done in money games.
GPP drama of the week — Rashad Coulter ($8,400)
This battle has the 2nd highest FDGTD lineup on the card at -400. There is also worth on Hu Yaozong together with him $600 cheaper and the betting line being almost even. Usually when there is value like that on an underdog it makes them one of the very popular fighters on the card. I really don’t think both of these guys are UFC level fighters, but I’m a bit more impressed with what I’ve observed from Coulter compared to the inexperienced Yaozong. I think getting Coulter at GPP lineups at a lower possession than Yaozong makes sense this weekend at a fight that should not move all 3-rounds. If both of these men get an early finish they will probably be on the winning lineup. I’m guessing Coulter will be the reduced owned guy of both and that’s what makes him my GPP play of this week.
Underdog drama of the week — Francis Ngannou ($7,500)
There really aren’t many underdogs I like to aim this week to get UFC Beijing. I haven’t loved producing lineups this week since I hate plugging in 2 underdogs when I think virtually every favorite will find a win. I think that the best underdog to target this week is Francis Ngannou because he does have a very clear path to success and he has won in this matchup before. The path to victory for Ngannou is by knockout, and he has got the ability to be able to KO anyone on the planet. If he can find a KO at $7.5k then he likely ends upon the 1st spot lineup, especially if it’s an early KO. From the first battle between these two guys Blaydes was able to get 2 takedowns, but Ngannou was able to get up fairly fast each time. If he’s able to end up like that here, then I don’t see any way Blaydes will have the cardio to attempt to wrestle for 5-rounds. I believe Ngannou is your scarier guy on the toes and I don’t see Blaydes wanting to attack for extended amounts of time. I think Ngannou is reside for an upset here but onto a card, I don’t like many underdogs I believe he is the best you to target with his 1st round KO upside. Fade of the week — Lauren Mueller ($9,200)
I truly don’t like targeting any of these women in the $9k selection. I think they need to all get wins, but I do not see any of them becoming 10x their wages. For Mueller, she would need at least 92 DK points to hit 10x and that I think she’s to receive a finish to make that occur. Mueller has 5 wins her MMA album and just 1 of the wins did not go to decision. She also only scored 72 DK points in her 1 UFC win. If she scores 72 at $9.2k then she will not be winning anyone a championship. I also think Zhang and Xiaonan have greater odds of winning than Mueller does so that is why I chose her over those two as my fade of this week. I won’t be making a lot of lineups this week however if I had been making 20 lineups then Mueller would be on zero of them.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on each struggle, my personal approaches & suggestions, and also my pick outlook for every single fight then you can discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:

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